Case Study: Phoenix

• Phoenix = AI system to fight (simulated) forest fires

• Experiments suggested that wind speed uncorrelated with time to put out fire

  • obviously incorrect (high winds spread forest fires)

• Wind Speed vs containment time (max 150 hours):

• 3: 120 55 79 10 140 26 15 110 12 54 10 103

• 6: 78 61 58 81 71 57 21 32 70

• 9: 62 48 21 55 101

• What’s the problem?

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